The Phoenix Flyer

Gillum and Nelson leading in new poll

By: - October 31, 2018 12:00 pm
Gillum and Nelson

Left: Democratic gubernatorial candidate, Tallahassee mayor Andrew Gillum. Right: Sen. Bill Nelson. Credit: Candidates’ campaign sites.

Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis by six points in the very latest poll on Florida’s governor’s race released on Wednesday, 50 to 44 percent.

That comes from an Ipsos poll of 1,069 likely voters, conducted between October 17-25 on behalf of Thomson Reuters and the University of Virginia Center for Politics. It has a margin of error of 3.4 percent.

The poll also shows Democratic incumbent U.S. Senator Bill Nelson leading Republican Rick Scott in the race for U.S. Senate, 49 percent to 44 percent. “This is a significant change from when we polled in September, when Scott (46%) and Nelson (45%) were neck and neck among likely voters,” the pollsters write.

Another poll released late yesterday is more favorable to Republicans, however, but still has the Democrats narrowly leading.

The Suffolk University/USA Today network poll shows Gillum leading DeSantis by just one point, 45 percent to 44 percent in the governor’s race.The poll for the U.S. Senate race has Nelson ahead of Scott, 45 percent to 43 percent.

That survey of 500 Florida voters took place between October 25 and October 28. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.

A closing note about the Suffolk University poll – in the 2016 Florida election for president, this polling operation showed a 1.4 percentage point lead for Donald Trump. Trump ended up winning the state by 1.2 points.

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Mitch Perry
Mitch Perry

Mitch Perry has covered politics and government in Florida for more than two decades. Most recently he is the former politics reporter for Bay News 9. He has also worked at Florida Politics, Creative Loafing and WMNF Radio in Tampa. He was also part of the original staff when the Florida Phoenix was created in 2018.